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a place to converse, virtually, on a variety of topics, bringing together multiple strands to encourage, question, challenge, ponder, and edify. A cord of three strands is not quickly torn apart. (Eccl. 4.12)

Tuesday, January 21, 2014

Evidence for God from Probability, and Statistical Zero

The Power of Probability   
This is an interesting article I ran across the other day while looking at probabilities at work.

Statisticians believe ‘Statistical Zero” to be:  
    1 / 10^50
or to write it out long-hand:
    1 / 100,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000
Or indecimal notation it is represented:
    0.00000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000001

The article's author lists 322 items which must be in place for earth to support life (out of many more), and assigns a probability of 1 / 10 to all of these items (which is extremely or even excessively generous).  Even with the qualifications, it still means...

... that there is less than 1 chance in 1 million trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion exists that even one planet like earth could ever exist and support life as earth supports it if the only mechanisms available are natural mechanisms. 

Evidence for God from Probability 
Do you see the problem here? Based on the statistical probability of the universal constants described here, it’s pretty clear that a planet like earth simply should not exist! If natural causes are the only factors involved here, the odds are just prohibitively small. Earth simply cannot exist if natural causes are the only forces in the universe. The ONLY way to account for the Earth’s existence is to introduce a supernatural cause that can overcome the tremendous improbability.

The Statistical Probability Argument:
1) Statisticians Agree that When the Probability of an Event Reaches 1/1050 the Odds of the Event’s Occurrence Are “Statistically ZERO”
2) The Odds of the NATURAL Existence of a Life Supporting Planet Like Earth are Less than 1/10322 (10272 Times Less Likely than “Statistical Zero”), Yet the Earth Exists and Supports Life
3) For This Reason, the Existence of a Life Supporting Planet Like Earth (Which CANNOT Be Attributed to Natural Forces or Causes), Must Be the Result of Supernatural Intervention
4) The Supernatural Intervening Cause (God) of Our Universe, Galaxy and Planet Must Exist

Source: http://pleaseconvinceme.com/2012/evidence-for-god-from-probability/

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